Correlated Equilibrium
An equilibrium in which players obey recommendations from a common randomization device.
Definition
A distribution is a correlated equilibrium if for all .
Given the recommendation , following it weakly dominates any deviation in expectation over .
Intuition
A trusted signal coordinates play — think of a traffic light rotating priorities.
Every Nash equilibrium is correlated, but correlated equilibria can achieve strictly higher welfare.
Worked example
In Chicken with payoffs , correlated play with each with probability gives expected payoff — higher than any Nash.
Traffic lights implement a correlated equilibrium between arriving drivers.
The math
Aumann (1974): the set of correlated equilibria is convex, contains all Nash equilibria, and can be computed via linear programming.
No-regret dynamics converge to the set of correlated equilibria in every finite game (Hart-Mas-Colell).
Where it is used
Explains social norms and conventions as coordination devices.
Computationally attractive and learnable via simple algorithms.
More in Game theory
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